« News for 28 Mar 2008 | Main | Lehman to offer $3 billion convertible preferred shares »

March 31, 2008

Conviction Position Added: SELL Bear Stearns

Today I went ahead and decided to place a SELL call on Bear Stearns (ticker symbol: BSC).  Bear's brand name is tremendous and, was without question, a premier franchise but they were the result of a terrible credit market.  But at this point I think we are at the current max point.  From a purely speculative standpoint, I thought buying calls on the Monday morning of the day it traded at $2 would have been a good deal.  And it would've been fruitful as it has quintupled since then.  However, it appears that this deal is going to close now and the stock should probably sit at $10 level from here on out.  With that said, I believe that this name should be sold into any bit of strength and would recommend avoiding the position from a purchase standpoint.

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/t/trackback/2005228/27641008

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Conviction Position Added: SELL Bear Stearns:

Comments

Post a comment

If you have a TypeKey or TypePad account, please Sign In

Conviction List

  • BUY Goldman Sachs (ticker: GS)
    Recent Px: $180
    12 Mo. Target Px: $230
    Goldman Sachs is a "best of breed" firm that prints money like no other on Wall Street. Trading at 9 times next years earning there is no reason to see this stock going lower than recent volatility has suggested. Recent earnings announcement surpassed analyst expectations. I would expect them to continue doing so. Buying in the 160s or lower would be a good buy.

    SELL Bear Stearns Corp. (ticker: BSC)
    Recent Px: $10
    12 Mo. Target Px: N/A
    JP Morgan got a heck of a deal and even felt bad about their initial offering price that they raised the bid from $2 to $10 per share. I guess it always possible that the deal falls apart and other outside bids are submitted but not without losing their building. Its a virtual lock at this point. Therefore, I think its time to look elsewhere.

    BUY Ultra Petroleum (ticker: UPL)
    Recent Px: $78
    12 Mo. Target Px: $100
    Ultra Petroleum's knack for oil and gas exploratory success makes this name a "must have" in the portfolio. This Houston-based firm has interests and business in Green River Basin, Wyoming, and offshore China.

    BUY iShares China 25 (ticker: FXI)
    Recent Px: $145
    12 Mo. Target Px: $175
    Chinese economist have forecasted a 11% growth in GDP for this year...and that comes on the heels of a slowing US economy. One word: "WOW!"

    BUY Dow Jones Ultra 200% Index (ticker: DDM)
    Recent Px: $70
    12 Mo. Target Px: $88
    Goldman superstar Abbey Cohen has predicted that the DJIA will see 14700 this year. With that logic and her call in mind, then consider using the 2:1 magnification etf that is based on the Dow's performance.

Subscribe

  • Enter your email address:

    Delivered by FeedBurner

Seeking Alpha

  • Seeking Alpha Certified Click the logo above to see my recent submissions to SeekingAlpha.com, the leading provider of stock market opinion and analysis from blogs, money managers and investment newsletters.

Videos

  • Greenspan on credit problem

Recent Posts

More Videos

  • I am always fascinated by successful entrepreneurs and the wisdom they provide. With that said, I am a big fan of, the Stanford educated, Peter Thiel, founder of Paypal and now hedge fund manager of Clarium Capital.

Pages

  • About Me
  • Conviction List
  • Resources
  • Valuation Models